Roma seems to be in some strong form after weeks of bad football. Like in last seasons, they are on the few Italian teams, that lives from their offense and the key factor of this part is the good old Mr. Totti, who seems to play like in his best days. He already scored 19 goals in 14 matches and he also gave seven assists. This is just a performance of an extraordinary striker. In last league match against Atalanta we saw first really good performance from Vucincic in this season, so I think this can give one more boost to Roma's offense. Their weak side is the defense, also because Doni is not the rock that they need because of injury trouble. Raineri told in an interview, that they want to win this match and of course the derby-clash against Lazio next weekend, so Totti will also start against Basel.

Basel doesn't have to win, but it is a dream that they can be sure to get some points from Fulham in last group leg. In all of their away games, they showed nearly no defensive work and their style is to play only offensive, because they are the big dominating team in a small league. This switch to more hard defense is something what nearly no team can get (good example was Werder Bremen some seasons ago in the Champions League). Their offense is good with Frei and Streller, so they should score their goal. I expect here enough goals, so over is the best choice.

Pick: Over 2,5 goals - 1,74 at Betfair

This match is a must win situation for Austria Vienna. Their main problems are the injuries. They don't have so many of them, but with Jun and Okotie their two most dangerous forwards are out and without them, their game looks really harmless in the offense. At same time, Standfest is also out, who made some good job in the midfield, in defensive and in offensive part.

Atletico is a guest in form and they will come with a bunch of self confidence. They are nor unbeaten for six games in a row and there were matches like the one against Barcelona. Main danger for Austria is Bilbaos duo Llorente and Muniain. Llorente is an offensive rock with a lot of constancy in his attacking. He is experienced and he has the necessary instinct of a striker. The other is the great 16 years old shooting star, who showed outstanding performance in two Europa League matches where he made a goal and gave an assist. Behind them Javi Martinez will watch to use the hole that these two attackers make in the opposite defense. He can score, but also assist in great way.

The 3-0 result for Bilbao in the match in Bilbao was not an accident, it was the reality how strong Bilbao is and howbad Austria is. I think Austria will find no medicine against the strong Spanish team.

Pick: Asian Handicap -0,25 Atletic Bilbao - 1,88 at Bet365

This is a pick that can be written in few seconds. Sure, Timisoara had two draws and of them was in Amsterdam where they kept the home team at a zero, but today this strategy will make no sense because they have to win if they want a chance to go on. We saw really well what happens if they open their game a little bit. The defensive holes are instantly there, so I am sure they are not going to show good football.

The other much more important fact is that this is not the same Ajax like in the first match between these teams. Jol found his best starting lineup and most important: Pantelic and Suarez are playing outstanding when they are together on the field. This is exact what Jol was looking for and since this duet is working fine, Ajax is playing great. They will be the key today.

Pick: Ajax Amsterdam to win - 1,80 at Bet365

This is an interesting match for us, because we have a team with troubles playing against a team, that is getting better, but not since long time, so we can still get some value odds.

Paris is the team that is definitely getting higher, especially since their big injury troubles are solved. Sure, Coupe und Hoarao are out and Sessegnon is suspended for the match, but one of the key players was Mevlut Erding. He showed some outstanding performances in this season and he is a little bit like their offense engine. The other important part is a complete defense. This should be the strong side of PSG through the whole season. The combination of Sylvain Armand , Zoumana Camara , Mamadou Sakho  and Ceará just works fine and Makelele is mostly a rock in the defensive midfield.

Boulogne got in to the first league lucky, but I think they would have a chance with their full squad, because then they can develop some strong offense. In Last weeks and also today, they have so much injury troubles, that I don't see any chances for them to get something bigger here. Without their skipper and best forward Thil and also the strikers Robert and Moreira, they can't develop enough danger and their defense looked weak in last weeks.

Pick: Paris Saint Germain to win - 1,80 at Interwetten